Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
OnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUtah -14.510-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDT
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19→Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward Colorado→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUtah -18Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward ColoradoExplore similar gaps →OnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19Factor adjustment (Open)~1 pt toward ColoradoOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Utah -18Opening Market ConsensusUtah -14.5Unexplained at open~3.5 pts toward ColoradoSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Utah -18Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUtah -14.5Unexplained gap~3.5 pts toward ColoradoExplore similar gaps →Colorado has extra rest~1 pt toward Colorado
Colorado has extra rest
~1 pt toward Colorado
Colorado has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Colorado; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
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Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Observed 13h 12m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
OnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Why the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19→Factor Adjustments~1 pt toward Colorado→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineUtah -18Unexplained Gap~3.5 pts toward ColoradoOnVarsity Opening LineUtah -19Factor adjustment (Open)~1 pt toward ColoradoOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Utah -18Opening Market ConsensusUtah -14.5Unexplained gap~3.5 pts toward ColoradoColorado has extra rest~1 pt toward Colorado
Colorado has extra rest
~1 pt toward Colorado
Colorado has 6.9 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Colorado; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.