Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWestern Kentucky at Sam Houston
Week 7 · Oct 14Elliott T. Bowers Stadium · Huntsville, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Sam Houston -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Sam Houston -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Western Kentucky -1.510-book consensus · observed Oct 14, 7:27 AM EDT
Western Kentucky -1.510-book consensus · observed Oct 14, 7:27 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward Western KentuckyExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after losing its previous lined game by 32 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Sam Houston is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Sam Houston lost the most recent meeting with Western Kentucky.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Sam Houston lost the most recent meeting with Western Kentucky by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Western Kentucky enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Western Kentucky enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
Western Kentucky was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Western Kentucky is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Western Kentucky 16 · Sam Houston 3
- Pregame OV Line
- Sam Houston -1.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Western Kentucky -1.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Western Kentucky by 13
Observed 12h 32m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineSam Houston -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Sam Houston -1.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusWestern Kentucky -2Earliest observed 4-book consensus
Western Kentucky -2Earliest observed 4-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Western Kentucky 45.2%Sam Houston 54.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Western Kentucky -1.5
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