Matchup View
West Virginia -3.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?West Virginia -1.510-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDTCincinnati has 6.5 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.6 points toward Cincinnati; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
West Virginia enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWest Virginia enters after losing its previous lined game by 21 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWest Virginia enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWest Virginia enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWest Virginia is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWest Virginia is favored in a game with a consensus total of 63.5.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCincinnati enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCincinnati enters after losing its previous lined game by 27 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCincinnati lost the most recent meeting with West Virginia.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCincinnati faces materially stronger Texas Tech in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 2h 57m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
West Virginia -3.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?West Virginia -2.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusCincinnati has 6.5 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.6 points toward Cincinnati; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyMake Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · West Virginia -1.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 17.
