Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Tulane enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMemphis at Tulane
Week 7 · Oct 16Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Memphis -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Memphis -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusMemphis -710-book consensus · observed Oct 16, 9:57 AM EDT
Memphis -710-book consensus · observed Oct 16, 9:57 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward MemphisExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Tulane enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Tulane is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Tulane is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Memphis enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Memphis enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Memphis is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Memphis ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Memphis lost the most recent meeting with Tulane.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Memphis 17 · Tulane 31
- Pregame OV Line
- Memphis -6
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Memphis -7
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Tulane by 14
Observed 9h 32m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMemphis -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Memphis -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMemphis -6.5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Memphis -6.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Memphis 67.6%Tulane 32.4%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Memphis -7
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