Close-win regression Developing estimate
Jacksonville State enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFlorida International at Jacksonville State
Week 7 · Oct 13AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusJacksonville State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 12, 2:52 PM EDT
Jacksonville State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 12, 2:52 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Jacksonville StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Jacksonville State has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Jacksonville State lost the most recent meeting with Florida International.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Florida International 24 · Jacksonville State 27
- Pregame OV Line
- Jacksonville State -2
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Jacksonville State -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Jacksonville State by 3
Observed 29h 7m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineJacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusJacksonville State -3.5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Jacksonville State -3.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Florida International 43.8%Jacksonville State 56.2%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Jacksonville State -3
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