Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Missouri State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyKennesaw State at Missouri State
Week 7 · Oct 14Plaster Sports Complex · Springfield, MO
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Missouri State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Missouri State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Kennesaw State -310-book consensus · observed Oct 14, 7:27 AM EDT
Kennesaw State -310-book consensus · observed Oct 14, 7:27 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4 pts toward Kennesaw StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Missouri State enters after losing its previous lined game by 21 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Missouri State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Missouri State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Missouri State enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Missouri State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Missouri State lost the most recent meeting with Kennesaw State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Kennesaw State has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Kennesaw State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State faces materially stronger Liberty in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Kennesaw State 21 · Missouri State 24
- Pregame OV Line
- Missouri State -1
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Kennesaw State -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Missouri State by 3
Observed 12h 2m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineMissouri State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Missouri State -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKennesaw State -3.5Earliest observed 4-book consensus
Kennesaw State -3.5Earliest observed 4-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Kennesaw State 47.6%Missouri State 52.4%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Kennesaw State -3
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