Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
UTEP enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studySan José State at UTEP
Week 7 · Oct 17Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
San José State -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
San José State -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusSan José State -710-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDT
San José State -710-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward UTEPExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
UTEP enters after losing its previous lined game by 17 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
UTEP enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
UTEP enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
UTEP has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
UTEP is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
UTEP faces materially stronger North Dakota State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
San José State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
San José State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
San José State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
San José State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
San José State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
San José State faces materially stronger Nevada in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
San José State is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Nevada.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?San José State 24 · UTEP 11
- Pregame OV Line
- San José State -10
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- San José State -7
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- San José State by 13
Observed 11h 57m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineSan José State -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
San José State -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusSan José State -7.5Earliest observed 10-book consensus
San José State -7.5Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
San José State 78.4%UTEP 21.6%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · San José State -7
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