Matchup View
LSU -13Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?LSU -17.511-book consensus · observed Oct 17, 9:02 AM EDTMississippi State has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Mississippi State; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
LSU enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLSU was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLSU enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLSU is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLSU is favored by 15.8 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLSU begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State enters after losing its previous lined game by 33 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State is a 15.8-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State lost the most recent meeting with LSU.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State lost the most recent meeting with LSU by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMississippi State is the underdog in a matchup played at least 6 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 2h 57m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
LSU -13Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?LSU -12Earliest observed 2-book consensusMississippi State has 7.3 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Mississippi State; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
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Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · LSU -17.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 17.
