2026 Season · Week 9

Week 9 OnVarsity

Open any matchup to compare the independent OnVarsity Line with the market, inspect possible Explanatory Factors, and make your own pick.

56games56market lines16with Factors33within a field goal2.6avg gap (pts)
UpcomingTop GamesFull ScheduleMy Picks

Week 9

Oct 27–Oct 31 · 56 games
← Week 8Week 10 →
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#1 matchup
#1Ohio State(6–2)
OV Win83%18
#12USC(7–2)
OV Win17%30
Spread:OSU -12.5vs.OSU -6.5
1 Factor
Ohio State at USC · Los Angeles, CA · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Final · Oct 31#2 matchup
#18Florida(5–3)
OV Win22%8
#3Georgia(7–1)
OV Win78%27
Spread:UGA -10vs.UGA -11.5
1 Factor
Neutral site · Atlanta, GA · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#3 matchup
#21Arizona(6–2)
OV Win33%26
#11Texas Tech(7–1)
OV Win67%34
Spread:TTU -5.5vs.TTU -3.5
Arizona at Texas Tech · Lubbock, TX · Jones AT&T Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#4 matchup
#16South Carolina(5–3)
OV Win40%42
#25Oklahoma(4–4)
OV Win60%25
Spread:OU -3vs.OU -3.5
South Carolina at Oklahoma · Norman, OK · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#5 matchup
#27Northwestern(6–2)
OV Win24%26
#10Oregon(5–3)
OV Win76%34
Spread:ORE -9vs.ORE -3.5
Northwestern at Oregon · Eugene, OR · Autzen Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#6 matchup
#33Wisconsin(5–3)
OV Win41%0
#17Iowa(6–2)
OV Win59%30
Spread:IOWA -3vs.IOWA -2.5
Wisconsin at Iowa · Iowa City, IA · Kinnick Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#7 matchup
#35Auburn(4–4)
OV Win17%15
#9Ole Miss(6–2)
OV Win83%45
Spread:MISS -12vs.MISS -11.5
Auburn at Ole Miss · Oxford, MS · Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#8 matchup
#37Washington(5–3)
OV Win23%17
#20Nebraska(5–3)
OV Win77%10
Spread:NEB -9.5vs.NEB -7.5
Washington at Nebraska · Lincoln, NE · Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE)
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#9 matchup
#40Mississippi State(4–4)
OV Win9%3
#5Texas(6–2)
OV Win91%31
Spread:TEX -17vs.TEX -20
Mississippi State at Texas · Austin, TX · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#10 matchup
#8Miami(8–0)
OV Win93%38
#45North Carolina(4–4)
OV Win7%35
Spread:MIA -19vs.MIA -14
Miami at North Carolina · Chapel Hill, NC · Kenan Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#11 matchup
#48Minnesota(5–3)
OV Win4%16
#6Indiana(8–1)
OV Win96%23
Spread:IU -22.5vs.IU -20.5
Minnesota at Indiana · Bloomington, IN · Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN)
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#12 matchup
#49Purdue(3–5)
OV Win26%17
#28Penn State(4–4)
OV Win74%31
Spread:PSU -8.5vs.PSU -10.5
Purdue at Penn State · University Park, PA · Beaver Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#13 matchup
#50Clemson(5–3)
OV Win32%36
#43Florida State(3–5)
OV Win68%24
Spread:FSU -6vs.FSU -6
1 Factor
Clemson at Florida State · Tallahassee, FL · Doak Campbell Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#14 matchup
#51Texas State(4–4)
OV Win18%45
#32Boise State(7–1)
OV Win82%46
Spread:BOIS -12vs.BOIS -10.5
Texas State at Boise State · Boise, ID · Albertsons Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#15 matchup
#52Kansas(3–5)
OV Win36%16
#41TCU(4–4)
OV Win64%22
Spread:TCU -4.5vs.TCU -6.5
Kansas at TCU · Fort Worth, TX · Amon G. Carter Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#16 matchup
#14Utah(8–0)
OV Win77%49
#53Cincinnati(5–3)
OV Win23%25
Spread:UTAH -9.5vs.UTAH -7
Utah at Cincinnati · Cincinnati, OH · Nippert Stadium
Final · Oct 30Suggested side covered#17 matchup
#38Baylor(5–3)
OV Win54%41
#56UCF(4–4)
OV Win46%9
Spread:BAY -1vs.UCF -1
Baylor at UCF · Orlando, FL · FBC Mortgage Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#18 matchup
#57Virginia(4–5)
OV Win17%7
#19Wake Forest(7–1)
OV Win83%51
Spread:WAKE -12.5vs.WAKE -12.5
1 Factor
Virginia at Wake Forest · Winston-Salem, NC · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#19 matchup
#58Arizona State(4–4)
OV Win17%20
#23BYU(7–1)
OV Win83%27
Spread:BYU -12.5vs.BYU -16.5
Arizona State at BYU · Provo, UT · LaVell Edwards Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#20 matchup
#34Oklahoma State(5–3)
OV Win66%49
#61Iowa State(4–4)
OV Win34%51
Spread:OKST -5.5vs.OKST -9.5
Oklahoma State at Iowa State · Ames, IA · Jack Trice Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#21 matchup
#39Oregon State(5–3)
OV Win64%22
#62Fresno State(5–3)
OV Win36%38
Spread:ORST -5vs.ORST -6
Oregon State at Fresno State · Fresno, CA · Valley Children's Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#22 matchup
#15Missouri(6–2)
OV Win80%34
#63Arkansas(3–5)
OV Win20%10
Spread:MIZ -11vs.MIZ -10
Missouri at Arkansas · Fayetteville, AR · Razorback Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side pushed#23 matchup
#54Kansas State(4–4)
OV Win67%24
#70Colorado(3–5)
OV Win33%27
Spread:KSU -6vs.COLO -3
Kansas State at Colorado · Boulder, CO · Folsom Field
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#24 matchup
#36SMU(6–2)
OV Win79%27
#73Syracuse(4–4)
OV Win21%30
Spread:SMU -10.5vs.SMU -9.5
SMU at Syracuse · Syracuse, NY · JMA Wireless Dome
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#25 matchup
#42Illinois(5–3)
OV Win71%20
#74Maryland(2–6)
OV Win29%17
Spread:ILL -7vs.ILL -2.5
1 Factor
Illinois at Maryland · College Park, MD · SECU Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#26 matchup
#75Georgia Tech(2–6)
OV Win21%11
#44Pittsburgh(6–3)
OV Win79%34
Spread:PITT -10.5vs.PITT -7.5
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh · Pittsburgh, PA · Acrisure Stadium
Final · Oct 31#27 matchup
#76Boston College(4–4)
OV Win30%2
#46Duke(6–2)
OV Win70%47
Spread:DUKE -7vs.DUKE -7
Boston College at Duke · Durham, NC · Wallace Wade Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#28 matchup
#79Army(5–3)
OV Win35%22
#65Memphis(7–2)
OV Win65%49
Spread:MEM -5vs.MEM -6
Army at Memphis · Memphis, TN · Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#29 matchup
#26Michigan(5–3)
OV Win86%28
#80Rutgers(2–6)
OV Win14%21
Spread:MICH -14vs.MICH -16
Michigan at Rutgers · Piscataway, NJ · SHI Stadium
Final · Oct 31#30 matchup
#2Notre Dame(7–1)
OV Win99%35
#81Navy(2–6)
OV Win1%13
Spread:ND -30.5vs.ND -30.5
Neutral site · Foxborough, MA · Gillette Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#31 matchup
#87Washington State(1–8)
OV Win50%20
#86San Diego State(4–5)
OV Win50%26
Spread:PKvs.SDSU -2.5
Washington State at San Diego State · San Diego, CA · Snapdragon Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#32 matchup
#91California(3–6)
OV Win31%10
#69NC State(4–4)
OV Win69%31
Spread:NCSU -6.5vs.NCSU -9.5
California at NC State · Raleigh, NC · Carter-Finley Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#33 matchup
#92UConn(4–4)
OV Win33%26
#90Air Force(6–2)
OV Win67%35
Spread:AF -6vs.CONN -1
UConn at Air Force · Colorado Springs, CO · Falcon Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#34 matchup
#97Nevada(3–5)
OV Win1%0
#24UCLA(8–0)
OV Win99%27
Spread:UCLA -28vs.UCLA -22.5
Nevada at UCLA · Pasadena, CA · Rose Bowl
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#35 matchup
#98Stanford(4–5)
OV Win2%24
#29Louisville(5–3)
OV Win98%52
Spread:LOU -27vs.LOU -22.5
1 Factor
Stanford at Louisville · Louisville, KY · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#36 matchup
#99Colorado State(3–5)
OV Win23%14
#78Utah State(3–5)
OV Win77%31
Spread:USU -9.5vs.USU -7.5
Colorado State at Utah State · Logan, UT · Maverik Stadium
Final · Oct 29Suggested side covered#37 matchup
#100Florida Atlantic(5–3)
OV Win18%41
#59North Texas(6–2)
OV Win82%48
Spread:UNT -11.5vs.UNT -14.5
Florida Atlantic at North Texas · Denton, TX · DATCU Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#38 matchup
#77Louisiana Tech(6–2)
OV Win61%35
#102South Alabama(4–4)
OV Win39%20
Spread:LT -3.5vs.LT -6.5
1 Factor
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama · Mobile, AL · Hancock Whitney Stadium
Final · Oct 31#39 matchup
#104Temple(2–6)
OV Win33%9
#95East Carolina(4–4)
OV Win67%17
Spread:ECU -6vs.ECU -4.5
1 Factor
Temple at East Carolina · Greenville, NC · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#40 matchup
#105App State(5–3)
OV Win33%3
#94Georgia Southern(4–4)
OV Win67%19
Spread:GASO -6vs.GASO -5.5
1 Factor
App State at Georgia Southern · Statesboro, GA · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Final · Oct 29Suggested side covered#41 matchup
#106Troy(4–4)
OV Win12%24
#68James Madison(7–2)
OV Win88%21
Spread:JMU -15.5vs.JMU -19.5
Troy at James Madison · Harrisonburg, VA · Bridgeforth Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#42 matchup
#111UAB(4–4)
OV Win20%10
#82South Florida(6–2)
OV Win80%30
Spread:USF -11vs.USF -7.5
UAB at South Florida · Tampa, FL · Raymond James Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#43 matchup
#112Coastal Carolina(3–5)
OV Win29%31
#109Georgia State(4–4)
OV Win71%20
Spread:GAST -7vs.GAST -4
1 Factor
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State · Atlanta, GA · Center Parc Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#44 matchup
#55New Mexico(7–1)
OV Win89%21
#114San José State(4–5)
OV Win11%16
Spread:UNM -16vs.UNM -14.5
New Mexico at San José State · San Jose, CA · CEFCU Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side covered#45 matchup
#116Florida International(3–5)
OV Win13%10
#71Liberty(7–1)
OV Win87%49
Spread:LIB -14.5vs.LIB -14
Florida International at Liberty · Lynchburg, VA · Williams Stadium (VA)
Final · Oct 27Suggested side did not cover#46 matchup
#115Delaware(4–4)
OV Win45%35
#119Western Kentucky(3–5)
OV Win55%21
Spread:WKU -1.5vs.WKU -1
1 Factor
Delaware at Western Kentucky · Bowling Green, KY · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#47 matchup
#108Marshall(5–3)
OV Win42%36
#122Old Dominion(2–7)
OV Win58%23
Spread:ODU -2.5vs.MRSH -3
1 Factor
Marshall at Old Dominion · Norfolk, VA · S.B. Ballard Stadium
Final · Oct 28#48 matchup
#101Jacksonville State(6–2)
OV Win54%24
#126New Mexico State(3–5)
OV Win46%0
Spread:JXST -1.5vs.JXST -3
1 Factor
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State · Las Cruces, NM · Aggie Memorial Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#49 matchup
#127Bowling Green(2–7)
OV Win13%10
#89Western Michigan(6–3)
OV Win87%23
Spread:WMU -14.5vs.WMU -13.5
Bowling Green at Western Michigan · Kalamazoo, MI · Waldo Stadium
Final · Oct 28Suggested side covered#50 matchup
#117Kennesaw State(2–6)
OV Win52%44
#128Middle Tennessee(4–4)
OV Win48%28
Spread:KENN -1vs.MTSU -2.5
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee · Murfreesboro, TN · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Final · Oct 30Suggested side did not cover#51 matchup
#93Tulane(4–4)
OV Win91%38
#131Charlotte(1–7)
OV Win9%31
Spread:TULN -17.5vs.TULN -9.5
1 Factor
Tulane at Charlotte · Charlotte, NC · Jerry Richardson Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#52 matchup
#132Northern Illinois(0–8)
OV Win5%24
#83UNLV(5–3)
OV Win95%31
Spread:UNLV -21vs.UNLV -21.5
1 Factor
Northern Illinois at UNLV · Las Vegas, NV · Allegiant Stadium
Final · Oct 27Suggested side did not cover#53 matchup
#133Sam Houston(1–7)
OV Win35%3
#125Missouri State(3–5)
OV Win65%24
Spread:MOST -5vs.MOST -5.5
Sam Houston at Missouri State · Springfield, MO · Plaster Sports Complex
Final · Oct 31Suggested side did not cover#54 matchup
#124Southern Miss(3–5)
OV Win48%35
#135UL Monroe(1–7)
OV Win52%21
Spread:ULM -0.5vs.USM -3.5
Southern Miss at UL Monroe · Monroe, LA · Malone Stadium
Final · Oct 31Suggested side pushed#55 matchup
#137UTEP(1–7)
OV Win1%7
#72North Dakota State(7–2)
OV Win99%31
Spread:NDSU -29.5vs.NDSU -24
1 Factor
UTEP at North Dakota State · Fargo, ND · Fargodome
Final · Oct 30Suggested side covered#56 matchup
#134Kent State(3–6)
OV Win73%10
#138Sacramento State(2–7)
OV Win27%31
Spread:KENT -8vs.KENT -8.5
Kent State at Sacramento State · Sacramento, CA · Hornet Stadium

OnVarsity Lines are matchup-specific model estimates that exclude the focal market line. How they're calculated →