Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyKansas State at Colorado
Week 9 · Oct 31Folsom Field · Boulder, CO
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Kansas State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Colorado -311-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
Colorado -311-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~9 pts toward ColoradoExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado enters after losing its previous lined game by 33 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Colorado enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Colorado enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Colorado lost the most recent meeting with Kansas State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Kansas State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Kansas State faces materially stronger Oklahoma State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Kansas State 24 · Colorado 27
- Pregame OV Line
- Kansas State -6
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Colorado -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Colorado by 3
Observed 8h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKansas State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kansas State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKansas State -2.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Kansas State -2.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Kansas State 67.1%Colorado 32.9%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Colorado -3
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