Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Iowa State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOklahoma State at Iowa State
Week 9 · Oct 31Jack Trice Stadium · Ames, IA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Oklahoma State -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oklahoma State -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOklahoma State -9.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
Oklahoma State -9.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4 pts toward Oklahoma StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Iowa State enters after losing its previous lined game by 36 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Iowa State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Iowa State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Iowa State is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Oklahoma State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Oklahoma State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Oklahoma State has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Oklahoma State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Oklahoma State lost the most recent meeting with Iowa State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Oklahoma State 49 · Iowa State 51
- Pregame OV Line
- Oklahoma State -5.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Oklahoma State -9.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Iowa State by 2
Observed 13h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineOklahoma State -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oklahoma State -5.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOklahoma State -10Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Oklahoma State -10Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Oklahoma State 66.4%Iowa State 33.6%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Oklahoma State -9.5
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