Temple has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward TempleTemple has 5.2 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.3 points toward Temple; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyTemple at East Carolina
Week 9 · Oct 31Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium · Greenville, NC
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
East Carolina -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
East Carolina -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusEast Carolina -4.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
East Carolina -4.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineEast Carolina -6→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Temple→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineEast Carolina -4.5Unexplained GapNone at displayed precisionOnVarsity Opening LineEast Carolina -6Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward TempleOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)East Carolina -4.5Opening Market ConsensusEast Carolina -5.5Unexplained at open~1 pt toward East CarolinaSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)East Carolina -4.5Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusEast Carolina -4.5Unexplained gapNone at displayed precisionTemple has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Temple
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
East Carolina is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
East Carolina ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Temple was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Temple lost the most recent meeting with East Carolina.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Temple lost the most recent meeting with East Carolina by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Temple is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Temple 9 · East Carolina 17
- Pregame OV Line
- East Carolina -6
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- East Carolina -4.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- East Carolina -4.5
- Actual margin
- East Carolina by 8
Observed 9h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineEast Carolina -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
East Carolina -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusEast Carolina -5.5Earliest observed 10-book consensus
East Carolina -5.5Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineEast Carolina -6→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Temple→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineEast Carolina -4.5Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward East CarolinaOnVarsity Opening LineEast Carolina -6Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward TempleOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)East Carolina -4.5Opening Market ConsensusEast Carolina -5.5Unexplained gap~1 pt toward East CarolinaTemple has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Temple
Temple has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward TempleTemple has 5.2 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.3 points toward Temple; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyPregame Win Probability
Temple 32.7%East Carolina 67.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · East Carolina -4.5
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