Matchup View
Illinois -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Illinois -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTMaryland has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Maryland; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyThese conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Maryland enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland lost the most recent meeting with Illinois.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland lost the most recent meeting with Illinois by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyIllinois faces materially stronger Nebraska in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyObserved 6h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Illinois -7Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Illinois -2.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusMaryland has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.1 points toward Maryland; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
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Open until scheduled kickoffStraight-up winner
Market consensus · Illinois -2.5
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