South Carolina at Oklahoma

Week 9 · Oct 31Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK) · Norman, OK

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineOklahoma -3Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOklahoma -3.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward OklahomaExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Close-win regression Developing estimate

Oklahoma enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

Oklahoma begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Close-win regression Developing estimate

South Carolina enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

South Carolina begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Oklahoma.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge after humiliation Developing estimate

South Carolina lost the most recent meeting with Oklahoma by at least 14 points.

Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Completed gameWhat happened?South Carolina 42 · Oklahoma 25
Pregame OV Line
Oklahoma -3
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Oklahoma -3.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
South Carolina by 17

Observed 10h 40m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
South Carolina 40.2%Oklahoma 59.8%

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Compare Teams

South CarolinaVSOklahoma

Model View

Overall Rating+15.6 · #16+13.9 · #25
Offense Rating+6.3+3.8
Defense Rating+9.3+10.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.100.11
Offense Success Rate38.2%40.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.08-0.02
Defense Success Rate Allowed41.8%30.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.38.0
Playoff Odds4.5%0.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank16th8th