Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
TCU enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyKansas at TCU
Week 9 · Oct 31Amon G. Carter Stadium · Fort Worth, TX
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
TCU -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
TCU -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusTCU -6.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
TCU -6.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward TCUExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
TCU was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
TCU enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
TCU is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Kansas enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Kansas has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Kansas lost the most recent meeting with TCU.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Kansas is the underdog in a matchup played at least 6 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Kansas 16 · TCU 22
- Pregame OV Line
- TCU -4.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- TCU -6.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- TCU by 6
Observed 9h 55m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineTCU -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
TCU -4.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTCU -5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
TCU -5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Kansas 35.8%TCU 64.2%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · TCU -6.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 31.