Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
San Diego State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyWashington State at San Diego State
Week 9 · Oct 31Snapdragon Stadium · San Diego, CA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Washington State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Washington State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
San Diego State -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
San Diego State -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward San Diego StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
San Diego State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
San Diego State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
San Diego State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
San Diego State lost the most recent meeting with Washington State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
San Diego State lost the most recent meeting with Washington State by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Washington State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Washington State enters after losing its previous lined game by 21 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Washington State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Washington State enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyDefense travels Contradictory evidence
Washington State is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.
Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Washington State 20 · San Diego State 26
- Pregame OV Line
- Washington State 0
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- San Diego State -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- San Diego State by 6
Observed 13h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineWashington State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Washington State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusSan Diego State -3Earliest observed 8-book consensus
San Diego State -3Earliest observed 8-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Washington State 50.4%San Diego State 49.6%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · San Diego State -2.5
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