Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Utah State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyColorado State at Utah State
Week 9 · Oct 31Maverik Stadium · Logan, UT
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Utah State -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Utah State -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusUtah State -7.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
Utah State -7.511-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Colorado StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Utah State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Utah State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Utah State is favored in a game with a consensus total of 62.2.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Utah State lost the most recent meeting with Colorado State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Utah State faces materially stronger Fresno State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Utah State is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Fresno State.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
Colorado State was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Colorado State enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Colorado State is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Colorado State faces materially stronger Boise State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Colorado State 14 · Utah State 31
- Pregame OV Line
- Utah State -9.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Utah State -7.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Utah State by 17
Observed 9h 55m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineUtah State -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Utah State -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusUtah State -5.5Earliest observed 8-book consensus
Utah State -5.5Earliest observed 8-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Colorado State 23.0%Utah State 77.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Utah State -7.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Oct 31.