Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Fresno State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon State at Fresno State
Week 9 · Oct 31Valley Children's Stadium · Fresno, CA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Oregon State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOregon State -610-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDT
Oregon State -610-book consensus · observed Oct 31, 5:34 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Oregon StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Fresno State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Fresno State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Fresno State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Fresno State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Oregon State has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Oregon State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Oregon State lost the most recent meeting with Fresno State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Oregon State 22 · Fresno State 38
- Pregame OV Line
- Oregon State -5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Oregon State -6
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Fresno State by 16
Observed 17h 25m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineOregon State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State -5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOregon State -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Oregon State -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Oregon State 64.3%Fresno State 35.7%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Oregon State -6
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