Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studySam Houston at Jacksonville State
Week 10 · Nov 7AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL
Matchup View
Opening Line
Jacksonville State -14.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -14.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusJacksonville State -1711-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Jacksonville State -1711-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward Jacksonville StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Jacksonville State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Jacksonville State has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Jacksonville State is favored by 16.5 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after losing its previous lined game by 21 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Sam Houston has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Sam Houston is a 16.5-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Sam Houston lost the most recent meeting with Jacksonville State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineJacksonville State -14.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State -14.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusJacksonville State -17Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Jacksonville State -17Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Sam Houston 13.4%Jacksonville State 86.6%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Jacksonville State -17
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