Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
LSU enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 795 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLouisiana Tech at LSU
Week 2 · Sep 12Tiger Stadium (LA) · Baton Rouge, LA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
LSU -31.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
LSU -31.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusLSU -35.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
LSU -35.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~4 pts toward LSUExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
LSU enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 795 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
LSU is favored by 35.2 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
LSU begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 896 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
LSU faces materially stronger Ole Miss in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
LSU is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Ole Miss.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Louisiana Tech is a 35.2-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 450 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Louisiana Tech lost the most recent meeting with LSU.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Louisiana Tech lost the most recent meeting with LSU by at least 14 points.
Studied in 592 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Louisiana Tech 14 · LSU 45
- Pregame OV Line
- LSU -31.5
- Final recorded market
- LSU -35.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- LSU by 31
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineLSU -31.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
LSU -31.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusLSU -32.5Based on 2 books
LSU -32.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Louisiana Tech 0.7%LSU 99.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · LSU -35.5
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