OnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Current Market ConsensusHawai'i -9.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineHawai'i -11.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward UTEPExplore similar gaps →OnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Hawai'iOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Hawai'i -11.5Opening Market ConsensusHawai'i -9.5Unexplained at open~2 pts toward UTEPSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Hawai'i -11.5Current Market ConsensusHawai'i -9.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward UTEPExplore similar gaps →Hawai'i has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i
Hawai'i has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i
Hawai'i has 6.7 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Hawai'i; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
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Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
UTEP enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
OnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Why the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10→Factor Adjustments~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineHawai'i -11.5Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward UTEPOnVarsity Opening LineHawai'i -10Factor adjustment (Open)~1.5 pts toward Hawai'iOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Hawai'i -11.5Opening Market ConsensusHawai'i -9.5Unexplained gap~2 pts toward UTEPHawai'i has extra rest~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i
Hawai'i has extra rest
~1.5 pts toward Hawai'i
Hawai'i has 6.7 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.7 points toward Hawai'i; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.