Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOregon State at Colorado State
Week 5 · Oct 3Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Oregon State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusOregon State -6.510-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDT
Oregon State -6.510-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~6.5 pts toward Oregon StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado State enters after losing its previous lined game by 14 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Colorado State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Colorado State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Colorado State lost the most recent meeting with Oregon State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Oregon State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Oregon State enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Oregon State has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Oregon State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Oregon State is favored in a game with a consensus total of 61.5.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Oregon State 56 · Colorado State 26
- Pregame OV Line
- Oregon State 0
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Oregon State -6.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Oregon State by 30
Observed 9h 32m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineOregon State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOregon State -5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Oregon State -5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Oregon State 50.5%Colorado State 49.5%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Oregon State -6.5
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