UCLA at Minnesota

Week 10 · Nov 7Huntington Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN

Matchup View

Opening LineUCLA -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusUCLA -611-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence

Minnesota enters after a loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence

Minnesota enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Home-underdog value Inconclusive

Minnesota is the home underdog in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence

UCLA enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate

UCLA enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate

UCLA has won at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Hot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

UCLA has covered at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Road-favorite strength Inconclusive

UCLA is the road favorite in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Public bias toward greatness Developing estimate

UCLA begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.

Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

UCLA lost the most recent meeting with Minnesota.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Current Win Probability
UCLA 67.6%Minnesota 32.4%

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Compare Teams

UCLAVSMinnesota

Model View

Overall Rating+14.2 · #24+5.7 · #48
Offense Rating+7.7+2.5
Defense Rating+6.6+3.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.120.10
Offense Success Rate41.2%39.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.260.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed49.8%42.5%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.36.0
Playoff Odds62.1%0.1%
Strength of Schedule Rank54th19th