Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech

Week 8 · Oct 24Joe Aillet Stadium · Ruston, LA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineLouisiana Tech -11Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusLouisiana Tech -13.511-book consensus · observed Oct 24, 2:12 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward Louisiana TechExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence

Louisiana Tech enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate

Louisiana Tech enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.

Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate

Louisiana Tech has won at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Louisiana Tech lost the most recent meeting with Old Dominion.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion enters after a loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.

Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

High-scoring offense tax Developing estimate

Old Dominion ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.

Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Defense travels Contradictory evidence

Old Dominion is on the road after ranking in the top quartile of 2025 scoring defense.

Studied in 879 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Completed gameWhat happened?Old Dominion 0 · Louisiana Tech 26
Pregame OV Line
Louisiana Tech -11
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Louisiana Tech -13.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Louisiana Tech by 26

Observed 2h 47m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Old Dominion 20.4%Louisiana Tech 79.6%

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Compare Teams

Old DominionVSLouisiana Tech

Model View

Overall Rating-16.0 · #122-2.4 · #77
Offense Rating-9.6-2.7
Defense Rating-6.4+0.3

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.240.14
Offense Success Rate45.4%40.4%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.020.05
Defense Success Rate Allowed37.8%37.1%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.66.0
Playoff Odds<0.01%0.8%
Strength of Schedule Rank96th91st