Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Marshall enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studySouth Alabama at Marshall
Week 8 · Oct 20Joan C. Edwards Stadium · Huntington, WV
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
South Alabama -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
South Alabama -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusSouth Alabama -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDT
South Alabama -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Marshall was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Marshall enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Marshall enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Marshall is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Marshall lost the most recent meeting with South Alabama.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Marshall lost the most recent meeting with South Alabama by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
South Alabama was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
South Alabama enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
South Alabama is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
South Alabama is favored in a game with a consensus total of 64.5.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?South Alabama 13 · Marshall 20
- Pregame OV Line
- South Alabama -2.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- South Alabama -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Marshall by 7
Observed 35h 3m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineSouth Alabama -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
South Alabama -2.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusSouth Alabama -2.5Earliest observed 2-book consensus
South Alabama -2.5Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
South Alabama 58.1%Marshall 41.9%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · South Alabama -2.5
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