Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMissouri State at Delaware
Week 8 · Oct 20Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Delaware -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusDelaware -311-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDT
Delaware -311-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Missouri StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Delaware has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
Missouri State was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Missouri State enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Missouri State 38 · Delaware 61
- Pregame OV Line
- Delaware -4
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Delaware -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Delaware by 23
Observed 34h 33m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineDelaware -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Delaware -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusDelaware -2.5Earliest observed 4-book consensus
Delaware -2.5Earliest observed 4-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Missouri State 37.8%Delaware 62.2%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Delaware -3
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