Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Florida International enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMiddle Tennessee at Florida International
Week 8 · Oct 20Pitbull Stadium · Miami, FL
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Florida International -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Florida International -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusFlorida International -10.511-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDT
Florida International -10.511-book consensus · observed Oct 19, 8:26 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Resolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Florida International enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Florida International is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Florida International faces materially stronger Liberty in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Florida International is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Liberty.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after an upset win Contradictory evidence
Middle Tennessee was an underdog and won its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,127 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Florida International.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee lost the most recent meeting with Florida International by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Middle Tennessee is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Middle Tennessee 26 · Florida International 23
- Pregame OV Line
- Florida International -11.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Florida International -10.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Middle Tennessee by 3
Observed 34h 33m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineFlorida International -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Florida International -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusFlorida International -11Earliest observed 2-book consensus
Florida International -11Earliest observed 2-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Middle Tennessee 18.3%Florida International 81.7%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Florida International -10.5
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