Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLiberty at Delaware
Week 5 · Oct 2Delaware Stadium · Newark, DE
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Liberty -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Liberty -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusLiberty -711-book consensus · observed Oct 1, 9:06 PM EDT
Liberty -711-book consensus · observed Oct 1, 9:06 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~5 pts toward LibertyExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Delaware enters after losing its previous lined game by 39 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Delaware is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Delaware lost the most recent meeting with Liberty.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Delaware lost the most recent meeting with Liberty by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Liberty is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Liberty 30 · Delaware 14
- Pregame OV Line
- Liberty -2
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Liberty -7
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Liberty by 16
Observed 21h 53m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineLiberty -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Liberty -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusLiberty -7Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Liberty -7Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Liberty 57.0%Delaware 43.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Liberty -7
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