Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State

Week 4 · Sep 26AmFirst Stadium · Jacksonville, AL

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineJacksonville State -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusJacksonville State -79-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward Middle TennesseeExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Middle Tennessee 13 · Jacksonville State 23
Pregame OV Line
Jacksonville State -10
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Jacksonville State -7
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Jacksonville State by 10

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Middle Tennessee 21.3%Jacksonville State 78.7%

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Middle TennesseeVSJacksonville State

Model View

Overall Rating-19.0 · #128-10.4 · #101
Offense Rating-9.0-4.6
Defense Rating-10.0-5.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.140.19
Offense Success Rate42.2%43.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.210.15
Defense Success Rate Allowed44.1%42.0%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.07.3
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank127th134th