Look-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State faces materially stronger Tennessee in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyGeorgia State at Kennesaw State
Week 2 · Sep 12Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusKennesaw State -711-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 6:45 PM EDT
Kennesaw State -711-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 6:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Georgia StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Trap game Inconclusive
Kennesaw State is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Tennessee.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Georgia State faces materially stronger UCF in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Georgia State 31 · Kennesaw State 17
- Pregame OV Line
- Kennesaw State -8
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Kennesaw State -7
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Georgia State by 14
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKennesaw State -9.5Earliest observed 10-book consensus
Kennesaw State -9.5Earliest observed 10-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Georgia State 26.0%Kennesaw State 74.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Kennesaw State -7
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