Look-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Kennesaw State faces materially stronger Tennessee in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyGeorgia State at Kennesaw State
Week 2 · Sep 12Fifth Third Stadium · Kennesaw, GA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusKennesaw State -9.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Kennesaw State -9.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward Kennesaw StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Trap game Inconclusive
Kennesaw State is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Tennessee.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Georgia State faces materially stronger UCF in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Georgia State 31 · Kennesaw State 17
- Pregame OV Line
- Kennesaw State -8
- Final recorded market
- Kennesaw State -9.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Georgia State by 14
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kennesaw State -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKennesaw State -9.5Based on 2 books
Kennesaw State -9.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Georgia State 26.0%Kennesaw State 74.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Kennesaw State -9.5
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