Home-underdog value Inconclusive
Arkansas State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyGeorgia State at Arkansas State
Week 8 · Oct 24Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Georgia State -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Georgia State -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusGeorgia State -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 24, 2:12 PM EDT
Georgia State -2.511-book consensus · observed Oct 24, 2:12 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward Georgia StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia State enters after losing its previous lined game by 27 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Georgia State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Georgia State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Georgia State lost the most recent meeting with Arkansas State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Georgia State 32 · Arkansas State 38
- Pregame OV Line
- Georgia State -0.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Georgia State -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Arkansas State by 6
Observed 4h 47m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineGeorgia State -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Georgia State -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusGeorgia State -2.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Georgia State -2.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Georgia State 52.2%Arkansas State 47.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Georgia State -2.5
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