Kennesaw State at Arkansas State

Week 4 · Sep 26Centennial Bank Stadium · Jonesboro, AR

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineArkansas State -6.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArkansas State -6.59-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 6:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Completed gameWhat happened?Kennesaw State 14 · Arkansas State 17
Pregame OV Line
Arkansas State -6.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Arkansas State -6.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Arkansas State by 3

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Kennesaw State 30.9%Arkansas State 69.1%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Kennesaw StateVSArkansas State

Model View

Overall Rating-14.8 · #117-12.2 · #113
Offense Rating-7.9-6.7
Defense Rating-6.9-5.5

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.150.09
Offense Success Rate41.1%41.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.170.19
Defense Success Rate Allowed42.3%43.6%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total6.46.2
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank123rd111th