Close-win regression Developing estimate
Miami (OH) enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBuffalo at Miami (OH)
Week 10 · Nov 3Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH
Matchup View
Opening Line
Miami (OH) -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Miami (OH) -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusMiami (OH) -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Miami (OH) -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Miami (OH)Explore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Miami (OH) has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Buffalo enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Buffalo has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Buffalo has covered at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Buffalo lost the most recent meeting with Miami (OH).
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Buffalo lost the most recent meeting with Miami (OH) by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Buffalo is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineMiami (OH) -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Miami (OH) -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMiami (OH) -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Miami (OH) -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Buffalo 31.9%Miami (OH) 68.1%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Miami (OH) -6.5
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