Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyOhio at Akron
Week 10 · Nov 3InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH
Matchup View
Opening Line
Ohio -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Ohio -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusOhio -13.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Ohio -13.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward OhioExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after losing its previous lined game by 15 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Akron is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Akron lost the most recent meeting with Ohio.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Akron lost the most recent meeting with Ohio by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Akron is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Ohio enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Ohio has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Ohio is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Ohio faces materially stronger Miami (OH) in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Ohio is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Miami (OH).
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineOhio -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Ohio -12Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOhio -13.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Ohio -13.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Ohio 81.8%Akron 18.2%
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Market consensus · Ohio -13.5
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