Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Kent State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyAkron at Kent State
Week 8 · Oct 24Dix Stadium · Kent, OH
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Kent State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kent State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusKent State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDT
Kent State -311-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Kent StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Kent State enters after losing its previous lined game by 27 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Kent State enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Kent State enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Kent State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after losing its previous lined game by 20 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Akron enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Akron lost the most recent meeting with Kent State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Akron is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Akron faces materially stronger Ohio in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Akron 20 · Kent State 35
- Pregame OV Line
- Kent State -2
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Kent State -3
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Kent State by 15
Observed 24h 16m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineKent State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Kent State -2Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusKent State -3Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Kent State -3Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Akron 43.3%Kent State 56.7%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Kent State -3
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