Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Massachusetts enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyEastern Michigan at Massachusetts
Week 5 · Oct 3Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Hadley, MA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Eastern Michigan -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Eastern Michigan -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Massachusetts -69-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDT
Massachusetts -69-book consensus · observed Oct 3, 8:27 AM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~7 pts toward MassachusettsExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Massachusetts enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Massachusetts lost the most recent meeting with Eastern Michigan.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Massachusetts lost the most recent meeting with Eastern Michigan by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Eastern Michigan enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Eastern Michigan enters after losing its previous lined game by 44 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Eastern Michigan enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Eastern Michigan enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Eastern Michigan has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Eastern Michigan 38 · Massachusetts 14
- Pregame OV Line
- Eastern Michigan -1
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Massachusetts -6
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Eastern Michigan by 24
Observed 7h 2m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineEastern Michigan -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Eastern Michigan -1Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusMassachusetts -5.5Earliest observed 9-book consensus
Massachusetts -5.5Earliest observed 9-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Eastern Michigan 53.1%Massachusetts 46.9%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Massachusetts -6
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