Toledo at Ball State

Week 5 · Oct 3Scheumann Stadium · Muncie, IN

Matchup View

Opening LineToledo -11.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNo line availableMarket consensus unavailable
Current Win Probability
Toledo 81.2%Ball State 18.8%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

ToledoVSBall State

Model View

Overall Rating-7.3 · #94-21.1 · #134
Offense Rating-4.0-13.0
Defense Rating-3.3-8.1

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.20-0.00
Offense Success Rate44.6%32.5%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed-0.080.18
Defense Success Rate Allowed33.1%44.7%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.73.6
Playoff Odds0.3%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank133rd114th