Massachusetts at Sacramento State

Week 4 · Sep 26Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineSacramento State -3Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusMassachusetts -68-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 8:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~9 pts toward MassachusettsExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Massachusetts 35 · Sacramento State 6
Pregame OV Line
Sacramento State -3
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Massachusetts -6
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Massachusetts by 29

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Massachusetts 40.1%Sacramento State 59.9%

Make Your Picks

Open until scheduled kickoff

Who will win this game?

Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

MassachusettsVSSacramento State

Model View

Overall Rating-19.5 · #129-30.3 · #138
Offense Rating-12.6-15.2
Defense Rating-6.9-15.2

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play-0.03—
Offense Success Rate33.6%—
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.26—
Defense Success Rate Allowed48.0%—

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total3.24.6
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank138th131st