Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyJacksonville State at Ohio
Week 2 · Sep 12Peden Stadium · Athens, OH
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Ohio -1.511-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 5:45 PM EDT
Ohio -1.511-book consensus · observed Sep 12, 5:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward OhioExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio enters after losing its previous lined game by 28 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 535 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after losing its previous lined game by 26 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Jacksonville State 27 · Ohio 29
- Pregame OV Line
- Jacksonville State 0
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Ohio -1.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Ohio by 2
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineJacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOhio -2Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Ohio -2Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Jacksonville State 50.2%Ohio 49.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Ohio -1.5
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