Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyJacksonville State at Ohio
Week 2 · Sep 12Peden Stadium · Athens, OH
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market Consensus
Ohio -2.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Ohio -2.52-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward OhioExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio enters after losing its previous lined game by 28 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Ohio is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 535 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Jacksonville State enters after losing its previous lined game by 26 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Jacksonville State 27 · Ohio 29
- Pregame OV Line
- Jacksonville State 0
- Final recorded market
- Ohio -2.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Ohio by 2
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineJacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Jacksonville State 0Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOhio -2.5Based on 2 books
Ohio -2.5Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Jacksonville State 50.2%Ohio 49.8%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Ohio -2.5
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