Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Tulane enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,441 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studySouth Alabama at Tulane
Week 2 · Sep 12Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThis preserves what the matchup looked like before kickoff.
Locked Opening Line
Tulane -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulane -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusTulane -92-book consensus · updated Sep 9
Tulane -92-book consensus · updated Sep 9Why the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward South AlabamaExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Tulane enters after losing its previous lined game by 14 points.
Studied in 681 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Tulane is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 535 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Tulane faces materially stronger Kansas State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 401 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Tulane is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Kansas State.
Studied in 186 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
South Alabama lost the most recent meeting with Tulane.
Studied in 1,265 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?South Alabama 24 · Tulane 28
- Pregame OV Line
- Tulane -10.5
- Final recorded market
- Tulane -9
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Tulane by 4
This preserves the pregame comparison beside the result. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineTulane -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Tulane -10.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTulane -10Based on 2 books
Tulane -10Based on 2 booksWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
South Alabama 20.7%Tulane 79.3%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Tulane -9
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