Air Force at Wyoming

Week 8 · Oct 23War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineAir Force -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusAir Force -5.511-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward WyomingExplore similar gaps
Other conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate

These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.

Home-underdog value Inconclusive

Wyoming is the home underdog in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Revenge game Developing estimate

Wyoming lost the most recent meeting with Air Force.

Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Rivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate

Wyoming is the underdog in a matchup played at least 8 times in the available prior-decade archive.

Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Straight-up hot streak Developing estimate

Air Force has won at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Hot against-the-spread trend Developing estimate

Air Force has covered at least three consecutive lined games.

Studied in 951 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study

Road-favorite strength Inconclusive

Air Force is the road favorite in the current market consensus.

Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study
Completed gameWhat happened?Air Force 14 · Wyoming 28
Pregame OV Line
Air Force -8
Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Air Force -5.5
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Wyoming by 14

Observed 8h 16m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Air Force 72.6%Wyoming 27.4%

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Compare Teams

Air ForceVSWyoming

Model View

Overall Rating-6.1 · #90-12.0 · #110
Offense Rating+3.0-9.2
Defense Rating-9.1-2.8

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.290.05
Offense Success Rate47.6%37.9%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.400.07
Defense Success Rate Allowed49.4%37.8%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total7.45.7
Playoff Odds<0.01%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank102nd113th