Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Navy enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTemple at Navy
Week 10 · Nov 7Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD
Matchup View
Opening Line
Navy -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Navy -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusNavy -7.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Navy -7.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward TempleExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Navy enters after losing its previous lined game by 22 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Navy enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Navy enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Navy is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Navy faces materially stronger Memphis in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Navy is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Memphis.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Temple enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCold against-the-spread trend Developing estimate
Temple has failed to cover at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 939 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Temple lost the most recent meeting with Navy.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Temple is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineNavy -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Navy -10Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusNavy -7.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Navy -7.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Temple 22.1%Navy 77.9%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Navy -7.5
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