Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Florida Atlantic enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRice at Florida Atlantic
Week 8 · Oct 24FAU Stadium · Boca Raton, FL
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Florida Atlantic -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Florida Atlantic -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market ConsensusFlorida Atlantic -811-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDT
Florida Atlantic -811-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward RiceExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Florida Atlantic enters after losing its previous lined game by 32 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Florida Atlantic is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Florida Atlantic faces materially stronger North Texas in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Florida Atlantic is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger North Texas.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Rice enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Rice enters after losing its previous lined game by 21 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Rice enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Rice enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Rice lost the most recent meeting with Florida Atlantic.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Rice 49 · Florida Atlantic 51
- Pregame OV Line
- Florida Atlantic -9.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Florida Atlantic -8
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Florida Atlantic by 2
Observed 23h 16m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineFlorida Atlantic -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Florida Atlantic -9.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusFlorida Atlantic -10Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Florida Atlantic -10Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Rice 23.3%Florida Atlantic 76.7%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Florida Atlantic -8
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