Letdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Tulsa enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyArmy at Tulsa
Week 8 · Oct 23Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Army -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Army -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
Tulsa -1.511-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDT
Tulsa -1.511-book consensus · observed Oct 23, 12:43 PM EDTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~2 pts toward TulsaExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Momentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Tulsa enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLetdown after a blowout win Contradictory evidence
Army enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMomentum after a blowout win Developing estimate
Army enters after winning its previous lined game by at least 21 points.
Studied in 1,819 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Army lost the most recent meeting with Tulsa.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyCompleted gameWhat happened?Army 38 · Tulsa 35
- Pregame OV Line
- Army -0.5
- Last Observed Pregame Market Consensus
- Tulsa -1.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- No quantified Factors
- Actual margin
- Army by 3
Observed 7h 46m before kickoff. Not a verified closing line. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineArmy -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Army -0.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusTulsa -0.5Earliest observed 4-book consensus
Tulsa -0.5Earliest observed 4-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Pregame Win Probability
Army 51.3%Tulsa 48.7%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Tulsa -1.5
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