Army has extra rest
~2 pts toward ArmyArmy has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Army; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyArmy at Temple
Week 4 · Sep 25Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
Matchup View
Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked Opening Line
Army -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Army -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArmy -3.510-book consensus · observed Sep 25, 3:45 PM EDT
Army -3.510-book consensus · observed Sep 25, 3:45 PM EDTWhy the market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineArmy -4→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Army→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineArmy -6Unexplained Gap~2.5 pts toward TempleExplore similar gaps OnVarsity Opening LineArmy -4Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward ArmyOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Army -6Opening Market ConsensusArmy -3Unexplained at open~3 pts toward TempleSince openFactor adjustment (In-Week)≈ Net zeroOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Current)Army -6Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusArmy -3.5Unexplained gap~2.5 pts toward TempleExplore similar gaps Army has extra rest~2 pts toward Army
Completed gameWhat happened?Army 21 · Temple 17
- Pregame OV Line
- Army -4
- Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
- Army -3.5
- OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
- Army -6
- Actual margin
- Army by 4
Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.
Opening LineArmy -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Army -4Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusArmy -3Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Army -3Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differ1 FactorOnVarsity Opening LineArmy -4→Factor Adjustments~2 pts toward Army→OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested LineArmy -6Unexplained Gap~3 pts toward TempleOnVarsity Opening LineArmy -4Factor adjustment (Open)~2 pts toward ArmyOV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line (Open)Army -6Opening Market ConsensusArmy -3Unexplained gap~3 pts toward TempleArmy has extra rest~2 pts toward Army
Army has extra rest
~2 pts toward ArmyArmy has 7.1 extra days of rest. In comparable games, the market historically shaded about 1.8 points toward Army; final-margin results did not show a reliable matching improvement.
See the full studyPregame Win Probability
Army 63.0%Temple 37.0%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Army -3.5
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