Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Oregon State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTexas State at Oregon State
Week 10 · Nov 7Reser Stadium · Corvallis, OR
Matchup View
Opening Line
Oregon State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusOregon State -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Oregon State -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward Oregon StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Oregon State enters after losing its previous lined game by 16 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after an upset loss Contradictory evidence
Oregon State was favored but lost its previous lined game outright.
Studied in 1,202 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Oregon State is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Oregon State is favored in a game with a consensus total of 71.2.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Texas State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Texas State enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-scoring offense tax Developing estimate
Texas State ranked in the top quartile of 2025 scoring offense.
Studied in 1,302 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineOregon State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Oregon State -6Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusOregon State -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Oregon State -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Texas State 31.8%Oregon State 68.2%
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Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
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Market consensus · Oregon State -6.5
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