Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado State enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBoise State at Colorado State
Week 10 · Nov 7Canvas Stadium · Fort Collins, CO
Matchup View
Opening Line
Boise State -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Boise State -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusBoise State -1811-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Boise State -1811-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1 pt toward Colorado StateExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Colorado State enters after losing its previous lined game by 17 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHome-underdog value Inconclusive
Colorado State is the home underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Colorado State is a 18.0-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Colorado State lost the most recent meeting with Boise State.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Colorado State lost the most recent meeting with Boise State by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRivalry games favor the underdog Developing estimate
Colorado State is the underdog in a matchup played at least 7 times in the available prior-decade archive.
Studied in 1,849 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyClose-win regression Developing estimate
Boise State enters after a one-score win in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,658 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyStraight-up hot streak Developing estimate
Boise State has won at least three consecutive lined games.
Studied in 1,465 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRoad-favorite strength Inconclusive
Boise State is the road favorite in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,402 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Boise State is favored by 18.0 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyHigh-total favorite Inconclusive
Boise State is favored in a game with a consensus total of 68.5.
Studied in 717 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Boise State begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Boise State faces materially stronger Oregon State in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTrap game Inconclusive
Boise State is favored by at least seven points before facing materially stronger Oregon State.
Studied in 838 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineBoise State -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Boise State -19Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusBoise State -18Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Boise State -18Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Boise State 92.7%Colorado State 7.3%
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Market consensus · Boise State -18
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