Oregon State at UTEP

Week 4 · Sep 26Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX

Matchup View

Pregame view lockedThe OV Line and Factors remain frozen. The market comparison uses the completed-game record below.
Locked
Opening LineOregon State -12.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Your ViewMake 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Kickoff-adjacent Market ConsensusOregon State -1110-book consensus · observed Sep 26, 8:45 PM EDT
Why the market may differNo Factors

No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.

Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward UTEPExplore similar gaps
Completed gameWhat happened?Oregon State 33 · UTEP 7
Pregame OV Line
Oregon State -12.5
Kickoff-adjacent Market Consensus
Oregon State -11
OV Factor-Adjusted Suggested Line
No quantified Factors
Actual margin
Oregon State by 26

Observed 0h 14m before kickoff. The OV Line and Factors retain their pregame values. One outcome does not prove that a Factor caused the market difference.

Pregame Win Probability
Oregon State 83.9%UTEP 16.1%

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Open until scheduled kickoff

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Straight-up winner

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Compare Teams

Oregon StateVSUTEP

Model View

Overall Rating+8.6 · #39-23.2 · #137
Offense Rating+3.8-15.3
Defense Rating+4.8-7.9

2025 Performance

Offense PPA/Play0.060.01
Offense Success Rate42.4%32.8%
Defense PPA/Play Allowed0.180.10
Defense Success Rate Allowed38.8%38.9%

2026 Outlook

Market Win Total4.13.2
Playoff Odds2.6%<0.01%
Strength of Schedule Rank75th77th