Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Wisconsin enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRutgers at Wisconsin
Week 10 · Nov 7Camp Randall Stadium · Madison, WI
Matchup View
Opening Line
Wisconsin -17.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Wisconsin -17.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
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Current Market ConsensusWisconsin -1711-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Wisconsin -1711-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~0.5 pts toward RutgersExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Wisconsin enters after losing its previous lined game by 30 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Wisconsin is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLay it with a big favorite Developing estimate
Wisconsin is favored by 17.2 points in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyPublic bias toward greatness Developing estimate
Wisconsin begins the season in the top quartile of OV Ratings.
Studied in 1,692 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Rutgers enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Rutgers enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Rutgers enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyTake the big underdog Contradictory evidence
Rutgers is a 17.2-point underdog in the current market consensus.
Studied in 1,106 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Rutgers lost the most recent meeting with Wisconsin.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge after humiliation Developing estimate
Rutgers lost the most recent meeting with Wisconsin by at least 14 points.
Studied in 1,910 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LineWisconsin -17.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Wisconsin -17.5Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusWisconsin -17Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Wisconsin -17Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Rutgers 8.7%Wisconsin 91.3%
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Market consensus · Wisconsin -17
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