Bounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Purdue enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMaryland at Purdue
Week 10 · Nov 7Ross-Ade Stadium · West Lafayette, IN
Matchup View
Opening Line
Purdue -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Purdue -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your View![]()
Make 25 picks to unlockBased on your personal ratings
Current Market ConsensusPurdue -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM EST
Purdue -6.511-book consensus · observed Nov 2, 12:33 PM ESTWhy the market may differNo Factors
No Explanatory Factors were identified for this game.
Unexplained Gap~1.5 pts toward MarylandExplore similar gapsOther conditions we evaluatedNot included in the estimate
These conditions were relevant to this matchup, but their studies did not justify a separate Factor estimate. That does not mean they never matter: some may already be reflected in preseason information or the opening market, may overlap with another Factor, or may simply lack a reliable additional effect.
Bounce-back after a bad loss Contradictory evidence
Purdue enters after losing its previous lined game by 14 points.
Studied in 1,930 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Purdue enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyFavorite off a loss Contradictory evidence
Purdue is favored after losing its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,220 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyLook-ahead game Contradictory evidence
Purdue faces materially stronger Iowa in its next scheduled game.
Studied in 1,044 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyBounce-back after a loss Contradictory evidence
Maryland enters after a loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 2,630 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after two losses Contradictory evidence
Maryland enters after two consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,859 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyMust-win after three losses Contradictory evidence
Maryland enters after three consecutive losses in lined games.
Studied in 1,169 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyResolve after a close loss Contradictory evidence
Maryland enters after a one-score loss in its previous lined game.
Studied in 1,582 eligible gamesOpen Ledger studyRevenge game Developing estimate
Maryland lost the most recent meeting with Purdue.
Studied in 3,848 eligible gamesOpen Ledger study Opening LinePurdue -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?
Purdue -8Before any Factor adjustments This is the matchup estimate implied by the OV Ratings before any game-specific Factors. Why doesn’t OnVarsity adjust it automatically?Your Line at OpenNot capturedPersonal-rating history was not stored when this market opened
Opening Market ConsensusPurdue -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensus
Purdue -6.5Earliest observed 11-book consensusWhy the opening market may differNo quantified opening Factors
No currently published Factor has a separate opening-market estimate for this game.
Current Win Probability
Maryland 26.3%Purdue 73.7%
Make Your Picks
Open until scheduled kickoffWho will win this game?
Straight-up winner
Who will cover the spread?
Market consensus · Purdue -6.5
Stored only in this browser — nothing is sent anywhere. Picks close at Nov 7.